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Calculator Comparison

How we compare to other labour probability calculators

There are several labour probability calculators online. Here's how ours compares.

Feature

Is Baby Coming?

This site
Other Calculators

Statistical model

Johnson SU distribution

Basic curves

Data source

NHS + CDC 2023-24

Older or unknown data

Preterm accuracy

ONS-validated breakdown

Limited

Conditional probability

Yes - recalculates daily

Varies

Parity adjustment

First vs experienced

Sometimes

Fetal sex adjustment

Boy vs girl (+1 day)

Rare

BMI adjustment

5 categories

Rare

Twins/multiples

Yes (-3 to -7 weeks)

Rare

Interpregnancy interval

Yes

Rare

Key Differences

Up-to-date data (2023-24)

Most calculators use older studies. We use the latest NHS Maternity Statistics (2023-24) and CDC Natality Data (2023), giving you predictions based on current birth patterns.

More accurate statistical model

We use a Johnson SU distribution that properly captures the heavy left tail of preterm births. This means more accurate predictions for early deliveries, matching ONS preterm breakdown data.

More personalisation options

We're the only calculator that adjusts for fetal sex, BMI, twins/multiples, and interpregnancy interval. These factors can shift your expected date by several days, making your prediction more personalised.